The evolution of coffee prices from 2020 to 2025 has been influenced by various global factors, including climate changes, energy costs e logistical difficulties. These increases have caused concern among consumers and producers alike. If in 2020 the average price of an espresso coffee at the bar in Italy was around €0,87, in 2024 He has reached €1,30. In 2025, although the year has just begun, the price of coffee is expected to rise further, reaching the figure of €2 per cup, Due to additional price increases expected for the current year.
A fundamental and highly significant role in this dynamic is played by the climate changes, which in recent years have had a devastating impact on coffee production in some of the major producing countries, such as Brazil and Vietnam . Adverse weather conditions, including drought and excessively high temperatures, have significantly reduced harvests, compromising the quality and quantity of coffee available on the market. As a result, supply has decreased, while demand has remained high, causing prices to soar globally. In recent months, for example, the raw grain prices have increased by approximately80% due to these climatic difficulties.
Another determining factor in the last four years has been therising energy costs. The coffee industry, like many other sectors, has had to deal with rising gas and electricity costs. These increases have negatively impacted the costs of transport and roasting. The latter, in fact, is a process that requires a considerable amount of energy, and any increase in energy costs is directly reflected in the final price of coffee. Furthermore, the increase in costs of shipment, caused by global logistics crisis, had another negative effect. Difficulty in sourcing containers and delays in transportation slowed the distribution of coffee internationally, further increasing costs.
Another problem, no less relevant than the previous ones, is represented by theinflation general, which has affected the entire global economy. I skyrocketing production costs. have increased, and that includes rising prices for packaging materials and for labor.
With increasing production costs and logistical difficulties, the coffee market is therefore facing a complex situation. Forecasts suggest that the price of espresso could stabilize around €2 per cup during 2025. However, it cannot be ruled out that prices could continue to rise further in the following years, especially due to the persistent.
